Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1Continue Reading

The New Zealand-born centre has hit punishing new heights in France, and starred again as Ireland dispatched reigning champions South Africa 13-8 in Paris on Saturday night. Mack Hansen claimed Ireland’s all-important try to stun the brutal Springboks, but Aki’s physicality dominated the midfield gainline battle. And scrum coach JohnContinue Reading

Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall StreetContinue Reading